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Contents |
6 |
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About the Author |
9 |
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Acronyms |
10 |
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Introduction |
11 |
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1 Background and Motivation |
12 |
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1.1 What Is a Principle-Based Theory? |
14 |
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1.2 First Cornerstone: Soloviev’s Proof |
18 |
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1.3 Comments on the Reliability Function |
20 |
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1.4 Questioning the Bathtub Curve |
20 |
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1.5 Scopes, Methods and Overview of the Present Work |
24 |
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References |
25 |
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Functioning Systems |
28 |
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2 Old and Novel Tools for the Calculus of the Hazard Rate |
29 |
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2.1 The Reliability of What? |
29 |
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2.2 Entropic Systems |
33 |
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2.3 Boltzmann-like Entropy |
36 |
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2.4 Physical Meaning of the Boltzmann-like Entropy |
39 |
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References |
43 |
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3 How Systems Break Down |
45 |
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3.1 Interferences Overlap |
45 |
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3.2 Factors Leading to Work Interruption |
47 |
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3.3 Systematic Factors of Failure |
47 |
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3.4 Simplified Models and Realistic Models |
50 |
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3.5 Enduring Obtrusion and Decadence |
51 |
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3.6 Comments on the Principle of Progressive Deterioration |
52 |
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References |
56 |
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4 Constant Decline |
58 |
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4.1 Two Introductory Remarks |
58 |
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4.2 Comments on the Linearity Assumption |
60 |
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4.3 Hazard Rate Caused by Constant Decline |
62 |
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4.4 Comments on Theorem 4.1 and Lemma 4.1 |
64 |
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References |
65 |
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5 Random Factors |
67 |
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5.1 Random Factors of Failure |
67 |
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5.2 Comments on the Principle of Random Accidents |
68 |
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5.3 Behavior of Accidents |
68 |
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5.4 Hazard Rate Caused by Random Accidents |
70 |
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5.5 Comments on Theorem 5.2 and Lemma 5.1 |
71 |
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5.6 Shock Theories |
73 |
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References |
75 |
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6 Accelerated Decline |
76 |
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6.1 Compound Degradation |
77 |
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6.2 Hazard Rate Caused by a Linear Cascade Effect |
78 |
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6.3 Comments on Theorem 6.3 and Lemma 6.1 |
80 |
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6.4 Hazard Rate Caused by Complex Cascade Effect |
84 |
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6.5 Comments on Theorem 6.5 and Lemma 6.2 |
87 |
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6.6 Additional Remarks on the Constant and Accelerated Decline of Systems |
92 |
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References |
94 |
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7 When the Premises Are Untrue |
96 |
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7.1 The Entropy Does not Exist |
96 |
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7.2 The Linearity Assumption Is False |
97 |
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7.3 The Cascade Effect Is False |
102 |
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7.4 Binomial Assumption Is False |
103 |
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7.5 The Linearity Assumption Is Alternatively False and True |
105 |
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7.6 Intent on Completeness |
106 |
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References |
106 |
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8 Ideal Hazard Rate |
108 |
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8.1 Genericness |
108 |
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8.2 Deductive Logic and the Tripartite Curve |
109 |
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8.3 Comments on the Bathtub Curve |
110 |
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References |
113 |
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Reparable Systems |
114 |
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9 Properties of Repairable Systems |
115 |
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9.1 The Functioning State and the Recovery State |
115 |
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9.2 The Reparability Function |
116 |
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9.3 Property of the Extreme States |
117 |
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9.4 Comments on the Extreme States of the System |
118 |
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9.5 Property of the Repair Outcomes |
120 |
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9.6 Comments on the Repair Outcomes |
123 |
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9.7 Property of the Repair Process |
124 |
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9.8 Comments on the Repair Process |
124 |
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References |
126 |
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Overall Conclusion |
128 |
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10 Conclusive Remarks and Comments |
129 |
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10.1 What We Meant to Do |
129 |
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10.2 What Principles |
130 |
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10.3 What We Have Found in Part 1 |
130 |
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10.4 What We Have Found in Part 2 |
131 |
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10.5 Overall Discussion of the Results |
132 |
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References |
136 |
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Appendix A: History of Reliability in Literature |
137 |
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Appendix B: Two Sided Estimates of Rate Convergence in Limit Theorem for Minimums of Random Variables |
139 |
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B.1. Introduction |
139 |
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B.2. Estimates of closeness between limit and pre-limit distributions in scheme of random variables minimum |
139 |
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B.3. Upper and Low Bounds for Convergence of ?n to Zero |
141 |
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B.4. Conclusion |
145 |
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References |
145 |
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Appendix C: Mortality Plateau |
146 |
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C.1. Experimental Evidence |
146 |
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C.2. Simplification Assumption |
147 |
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C.3. Comments on Theorem C.1 |
149 |
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References |
153 |
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Index |
154 |
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